The conflict in Ukraine is expected to continue for an extended period, with diplomatic efforts like US envoy Steve Witkoff’s peace talks with Vladimir Putin being viewed as mere theatrics. These discussions, alongside meetings between Trump and Putin, are increasingly seen as opportunities for the Russian leader to assert dominance, undermine the West, and bolster his image.
The Kremlin was always likely to reject any revised peace proposals, as they deviate from Putin’s original demands. President Trump’s 28-point peace plan aligned closely with Kremlin requirements, making it challenging to propose new terms.
Putin seems unwilling to compromise and is unlikely to accept anything less than his wartime objectives. His refusal to end the conflict is seen as a strategic move to maintain support among extreme nationalist factions.
As the conflict persists, Ukrainians face worsening conditions due to Russian attacks on their energy infrastructure. Despite this, Ukraine continues to retaliate, targeting Russian energy resources to pressure Putin and disrupt his military operations.
The ongoing conflict is draining Putin’s financial resources from energy exports, highlighting his reluctance to seek a resolution. By prolonging the war, he aims to leverage his position against the White House and potentially secure concessions.
The failure to reach a peace agreement is eroding the Trump administration’s credibility, while Putin remains steadfast in his stance. The situation may force Ukraine to take drastic measures to defend itself if US support diminishes.
The escalating tensions could lead to a direct confrontation between the West and Russia, prompting NATO to reassess its defense strategies. The alliance may face the challenge of confronting Russia’s covert tactics and deciding on a course of action.
Unless there is a significant shift in US policy towards Russia, the conflict is likely to escalate further, potentially leading to a more overt confrontation. The West may need to demonstrate readiness to counter Russia’s aggression and stand firm against any provocations.